Saturday, October 29, 2016

Why buy when the same can be cooked at home, new mantra of Indian consumers

While consumes are cutting down on eating pizza and burgers at stores like Domino’s, Pizza Hut or McDonald’s, they are cooking similar western foods at home.

While same store sales of western style foods have slowed down to less than 5 per cent over the past two years, companies which supply and sell western condiments such as speciality sauces, mayonnaise, dips, olive oils and other similar cooking aids are witnessing retail sales growth of anywhere between 25 per cent and 60 per cent over the past 12 months depending on the category, industry players said, quoting data from researcher Nielsen and internal industry estimates.

This indicates that while consumes are cutting down on eating pizza and burgers at stores like Domino's, Pizza Hut or McDonald's, they are cooking similar western foods at home. On the other hand, two industry officials said growth in sales to leading global quick service restaurant (QSR) brands have been growing at barely 3-4 per cent.

"Western condiments and cooking aids gained popularity because of QSRs and out-of-home consumption. It's this familiarity which has led to increase of in-homeconsumption of our products and triggered growth in usage at home," Yogesh Bellani, chief executive of FieldFresh Foods, a joint venture between Bharti Enterprises and Del Monte Pacific said.

Bellani said retail sales of Del Monte's base mayonnaise grew the fastest over the past 12 months — posting 65 per cent volume growth, while its ketchup grew 25 per cent. Quoting Nielsen, Del Monte said it was now the No. 3 brand in ketchup after HUL's Kissan and Nestle's Maggi. Its olive oil, meanwhile, grew 12.5 per cent up from 9 per cent the previous year.



To leverage the increasing in-home popularity of such products, this summer Del Monte rolled out eight new variants of mayonnaise, for which it is running high-decibel campaigns stressing on multiple uses of the mayonnaise as spread and dips.

Cremica Food, which sells sauces, mayonnaise, chutneys and dessert toppings among other condiments, is rolling out a series of new products tailored for the retail sector including vegetarian mayonnaise, dips and speciality sauces.

"Retail sales of our condiments has been growing 40 per cent over the last one year," Cremica Food Industries chairman Akshay Bector said. He attributed the improved sales to innovation and consumers taking to cooking western style foods athome.

Another small but rapidly emerging category which is resonating similar trends is olive oil. "The retail is growing faster for olive oils; the Horeca hotels , restaurants and catering) space is not happening so much," olive oils maker Borges MD Rajneesh Bhasin said.

He said Borges, with 35 per cent market share of olive oils, is spending 10 per cent of its turnover on advertising across cinema, television channels, cab branding and is in talks with a few airlines for inflight branding, to leverage the trend. Borges has now rolled out 100-ml PET packs of olive oil for the retail segment, which it is distributing in small towns, which Bhasin said, was getting 'very encouraging' feedback.

Some players said while out-ofhome consumption was also growing to an extent, the space has been getting too fragmented - which has led to sales being spilt between a large number of players. "The plethora of choices is tremendous - from Indian and western QSRs, to fine-dine restaurants to takeaways to neighbourhood delivery stores," Del Monte's Bellani said.

QSR category leader Jubilant FoodWorks posted its slowest same store sales growth (SSG) — 3.2 per cent year-on-year drop — across seven quarters in the April-June '16 period.

Source: ET Retail.com dated 2016-09-14.

Happy Kali Puja & Happy Diwali 2016. Stay blessed.



Wishing you & your dear ones a very Happy Kali Puja & Happy Diwali 2016.
Stay blessed.

Ratan Tata-Cyrus Mistry divorce settlement might cost $16 billion



This week's acrimonious separation between the chairman of Tata Group and its majority owners may now be heading for a divorce. Ratan Tata, who returned to head the conglomerate after ousting Cyrus Mistry, is looking for a partner to buy the ex-chairman's stake, Bloomberg News reported on 2016-10-27.

Should Mistry agree to sell, how much can he hope to get for his family's 18.4% of Tata Sons.

Bear in mind that following his dismissal, Mistry raised some very serious allegations about both the holding company and several of its biggest publicly traded units.

In hitting back at the board that fired him, Mistry said the group's net worth of $26 billion could be impaired by as much as $18 billion -- shrinking to just $8 billion -- should writedowns be needed at businesses like Tata Steel's European operations; Tata Motors' passenger car business (ex-Jaguar Land Rover, the jewel in the empire's crown); Indian Hotels' overseas Taj properties; one of Tata Power's plants; and a floundering wireless telecom venture with NTT Docomo.

As a seller, Mistry is unlikely to behave anything like a spurned chairman trying to score debating points. To maximize value, he might say he overestimated the risk of Armageddon. He might even admit the possibility that Ratan Tata's return to a conglomerate he chaired for two decades will reinvigorate the operating companies.

Maybe Tata can't repeat a near sevenfold increase in book value over the period 2004-2012, but if global steel demand stabilizes, there's a fair chance the group's assets could reach a book value of $28 billion after a year. In the base-case scenario, the coffee-to-cars-to-software conglomerate won't be any worse off, and its assets would be worth in 2017 what they are today: $26 billion.

Now suppose that status quo has a likelihood of 50 percent, while the probability of a massive writedown is 20 percent, and that of an improvement is 30 percent. That gives a one-year-forward book value of $23 billion. Considering that General Electric trades at three times its estimated book value for next year, and companies in the more diversified Tata Group sell at 4.8 times, Mistry could perhaps ask for a halfway-house multiple of 3.75 times, valuing his 18.4 percent stake at a little under $16 billion.

Only a patient investor who cares more about growth than current income would be willing to write that check. After all, the dividend received from operating companies yielded just 1.6 percent on Tata Sons' investment last year, according to the Economic Times. An investor who paid a multiple of 3.75 to relieve Mistry of his stake would earn a divided yield of 0.4 percent.

As for Mistry himself, at $16 billion, he would walk away with an annualized 4.5 percent return on the $200 million loan the Tata family took from outsiders 91 years ago. Include past dividends, and he might even have matched or beaten the 9 percent annual return from the U.S. stock market since 1928. That's hardly a divorce to feel unhappy about.

(Source: Bloomberg News l 2016-10-28)

Friday, October 28, 2016

Barbie's got a new and likeable body



In January 2016, Mattel announced its new Barbie Fashionistas line with petite, curvy and tall body types, seven new skin tones and various hairstyles.

Now the largest US toymaker is seeing the success of diversity with a worldwide sales increase of 15.8 percent in Q3 2016. Barbie sales jumped 16% compared to the same period in 2015 and, along with American Girl, helped power Mattel to net income of $236 million in Q3.

Part of its success stems from Mattel’s new campaigns like "You Can Be Anything" emphasizing the potential of women in various professions.

Mattel Creations also formed a multi-year partnership to develop cross-platform content by leveraging Tongal’s network of more than 120,000 creators.

The joint goal is to develop and produce "an amplified slate of content" based on Mattel’s library and intellectual property while Tongal uses its platform, marketplace acumen and experience to inform Mattel’s digital content strategy worldwide.

"Mattel Creations is dedicated to discovering new ways to share creative, captivating stories across all platforms. Our partnership with Tongal and its robust network of creators will enable us to build out an innovative, scalable offering of content for all channels and markets around the world," said Mattel CCO Catherine Balsam-Schwaber, of the announcment. "Tongal is re-defining the content model and we look forward to working closely with their team to further our brand strategies and build our storytelling platform."

Tongal has worked with more than 10 Mattel brands including American Girl, Thomas & Friends and Hot Wheels, as well as with LEGO, Nestlé, NASA, Unilever and General Motors.

Mattel continues to leverage the strength of its brands. In August 2016, it announced a multi-year partnership with Toys 'R' Us to open nearly 100 American Girl mini-shops within store locations to reach a wider customer base. Mattel products are also available in 1,100 Kohl’s locations.



Mattel has invited some mommy bloggers & media outlets to check out the new shop in shop.

Mattel continues to make some very good progress and continues to see real strength in core brands, according to Mattel CEO, Christopher Sinclair.

Barbie is proof that old dolls can learn new tricks—and that Mattel’s notion of diversity might be able to fill store shelves for a long time to come.

Why customers have the wants that they do

Friday, October 21, 2016

Paan turns over a new leaf as FMCG



The ubiquitous paan is quietly shedding its repulsive spit stains image and gaining cool quotient as an FMCG product.

The modern no-spit paan has approval of the food regulator, is assembled and packed at factories and comes with a shelf life of more than six months.

"We sell about a lakh paan pieces a month," said Pankaj Shah, fourth-generation entrepreneur of Chandan Mukhwas, a Mumbai-based supplier of mouth fresheners.

"Consumers want convenience and hygiene and paan is no longer frowned upon." Chandan Mukhwas sells a dozen variants from about 3,000 stores.

It also exports to nearly 30 countries, catering mainly to Indian diaspora. There are over a dozen other brands that sell paan, such as Dizzle, Yamu's Panchayat, Mapro Mazaana, Pethawala Agra, Surbhi, Dil Bahaar and Natraj.

Mukhwas or mouth fresheners is one of the largest categories within food, but largely unorganised. Retailers, however, expect sweet paan to outpace western desserts, if marketed well."Add shelf life, remove harmful ingredients, brand it and you have an Indian equivalent of After Eight mints," said Devendra Chawla, president of FMCG and brands at the Future Group that runs the Food Bazaar chain of supermarkets.

"This is category creation that can give chocolates a run for their money if positioned well. Indian consumers embrace traditional food products that are packaged well." There are an estimated 7 lakh shops nationwide selling the desi treat, which, according to the Bhagavata Purana, was even chewed by Lord Krishna. Paan has been retailing online in markets such as the US for about five years now.

Twist in the paan
So, what has really changed in India? As traditional recipes from aam panna to jaljeera are branded for organised trade now, the all male paan too has left the street corners and is sold at supermarkets and online stores. And women are a big customer segment.

"It reaches us mostly as a friend of tobacco and men. We're missing a trick there. Paan is quintessentially an Indian food and if placed on the food shelves and not near tobacco, would find its rightful appeal amongst families," said Damodar Mall, chief executive at Reliance Retail, which is doing a pilot study in the National Capital Region to present fresh chilled paan next to yoghurts.

Paan companies are also exploiting the halo effect from herbals. "Paan has medicinal quality and is used as digestives for centuries. We are just adding a cool quotient to it by packing it attractively," said BK Shaw, general manager at New Delhi's Yamu's Panchayat, which partnered Reliance Retail to list its products.

The company runs 56 paan outlets, many of them 'manned' by women. Sweet pan, lacking cured tobacco, is priced at Rs15-35, with a host of options, from chocolate-coated and strawberry paan to saffron and kiwi.

Although companies claim modern trade helps in creating higher visibility, margins aren't lucrative. Paan parlours sell fresh paan at Rs 10 to as much as Rs100 a piece. On the other hand, cost of branding and packaging can eat into profit unless volumes are large enough.

The flipside comes from the local 'panwadi.' "People will still prefer fresh pan as it can be customised and made to order rather than having a processed one," said Mahesh Tiwari, a local paan shop owner at Mumbai's western suburb of Borivali.

(Source: ET Retail.com dated 2016-09-17)

Wednesday, October 05, 2016

Startups shifting focus towards baby products for better value



The winds of change are blowing for Indian parents, long used to leaning on an established circle of parents, in-laws and pediatricians for unsolicited and much needed advice on child rearing.

An unsolicited piece of advice stood out from all the social media noise that Prachi Arora, 31, a freelance writer and young mother, waded through every day.

On a Facebook group, another woman looked at a photo Arora had posted of her daughter and unilaterally declared that she might be autistic. Such a pronouncement came as a bolt from blue. “I lost sleep over it,” she says. Rather than panicking, she logged on to BabyChakra, a 22-month-old online platform for baby products and services to hunt for a solution. “My SOS was to a BabyChakra mother, who has an autistic child and also works with various experts in spreading awareness,” she adds. “A conversation with her helped me restore my peace and I also found a special needs educator who categorically ruled out this diagnosis.”

The winds of change are blowing for Indian parents, long used to leaning on an established circle of parents, in-laws and pediatricians for unsolicited and much needed advice on child rearing.

Parents today are getting more aware, using the internet to update their knowledge on the best products (and to hunt for the best services) for their children and shifting a market reliant on old networks.

Social change — with more young mothers returning to work quicker and joint families giving way to nuclear ones — is beginning to significantly change this market, with old and new companies jostling for a share of this segment — from the time a woman is expecting till the child turns five.

According to industry analysts and insiders, this isn’t an easy market to crack. For starters, some 90% of it is locked up with old-world offline baby product retailers — some 8,000 of them countrywide, according to one estimate. With fewer choices for their babies, Indians tend to buy fewer products or substitute adult ones. “From warehousing to last-mile delivery, everything associated with baby care is a difficult job,” says Supam Maheshwari, cofounder and CEO of FirstCry, a venture that has raised $76 million in funding from the likes of SAIF Partners, Vertex Ventures and IDG Ventures. “We are selling products — from diaper pins weighing 5 gm to car seats weighing 25 kg. Consumers want an expert and not a generalist to sell them these products.”



The Big Daddies
Perhaps the biggest obstacle, at least in consumer goods, is the domineering presence of Johnson and Johnson ( J&J), which owns nearly three-quarters of the market in which it operates.

“With our presence, historically, we have been the only brand trying to grow the size of this category,” says Ganesh Bangalore, marketing chief for J&J India. “There is a tremendous opportunity in this market.”

After being around for over a century (globally, and 70 years in India), J&J is looking to show that elephant can dance, by launching new products (Bedtime range, Top to Toe wash and Baby Milk soap, as well as more offerings for ailments such as diaper rash) as it seeks to hold its dominant position in this market.

Bangalore of J&J says that baby sleep is another area in which the company is interested. Indian babies sleep the least at night — for just nine hours — whereas American and New Zealander babies sleep around 11 hours. Indian babies wake up the maximum during sleep, at 2.07 times, as compared with babies from New Zealand getting sound sleep and waking up only .93 times followed by the UK at 1.06 times.

To try and improve these statistics, he proselytises the firm’s Bedtime products, which include a three-step ritual, beginning with a warm bath with Johnson’s Bedtime wash, followed by massaging the baby with a Bedtime lotion and then spending some quiet time with the infant/toddler.



Bangalore also says J&J has launched its Bestforbaby YouTube channel to spread worldwide learnings and tips from spending a century in the baby care business.

This behemoth’s looming presence and other complexities have already felled many players who have tried to enter this market offline in the last few years.

Offline, baby product retailers are dogged by concerns similar to others in the field such as high rentals, people turnover and slim margins. Online, companies need to build a large enough inventory and strong supply chain backbone to deal with the wide array of orders in this sector. “It is difficult for horizontal ecommerce companies to service this market,” says FirstCry’s Maheshwari. “Consumers, especially mothers, look for a specialist for their needs, not a generalist.”

Anupama C, 28, a banker, lives with her husband and two-year-old son in South Mumbai. Bringing up their son without the help of extended family means she’s constantly looking for new ways to save time with her parenting, even as she meets crazy work deadlines. In the last six months alone, she has ordered a car seat, diapers and baby clothes off FirstCry and, elsewhere, located a baby sitter and playschool too. “Food, diapers, toys… there’s a lot that’s constantly changing for the better and as parents we must keep up,” she says.



Charge of the Tiny Tots
According to an estimate by Research and Markets, the average amount an Indian parent spends on their babies is expected to double in the next four or five years. In turn, this is creating fresh opportunities for companies such as BabyChakra.

“We want to build a trusted platform for children and parents in India,” says Naiyya Saggi, a former rainmaker with management consultancy McKinsey, who used her learnings in the field of maternal and child health to start her fledgling venture.

“A massive opportunity stood out to disrupt the way parents made choices,” she adds. “We have 17,000 service providers listed across three cities (Mumbai, Bengaluru and Delhi), with 5,00,000 users logging in every month.”

These numbers mean that BabyChakra is building a platform that hopes to disrupt the way parents make choices. “We are focused on building the next wave of users that is going to drive how online markets and information works.”

So, BabyChakra’s services today cover everything from infertility experts to playschools, as it seeks to reel in more users to its platform. While Saggi is focused on increasing the number of users for BabyChakra, she is also looking to increase the number of people who stick to the platform and the frequency with which they log in.



Other companies are also looking at this information gap and changing family dynamics. One such area is nutrition, where young parents, mothers specifically, are hunting for quick yet healthy fixes to feed their children.

“As mothers ourselves, we struggled to find breakfast and snack options for our children,” says Meghana Narayan, a cofounder of Slurrp Farm, a provider of food for babies and (soon) young mothers.

“We are devising food you can prepare at home, without additives, focusing on just the basics of taste and quality.” For example, the startup has devised options such as a nutritious porridge with wholegrain cereals and readyto-serve cold milk breakfast options and cookies for teething babies.

“We eventually want to get into food for pre- and post-natal mothers. All our offerings are based on traditional recipes our grandmothers would have made,” she adds. First-hand experience proved handy for Narayan and cofounder Shauravi Malik.

“When we first conceived of this idea, we didn’t have kids and lived abroad,” Narayan explains. “We were besieged with requests from friends to bring back products for their kids.”

Sensing a gap, the duo set up Slurrp to devise healthy, organic, preservative-free options using quality ingredients.

“We learnt our lessons along the way — parents in India, for example, didn’t want completely ready-to-feed food for children. They were looking at ready-to-serve options, since they wanted control over the ‘last mile’ of what their children ate,” she says.



The company is gaining some traction with its products. Unlike in the West, Indian children have the same (or very similar) food that their parents eat. Then there are factors such as under and malnutrition — many kids irrespective of economic strata are eating too much of the wrong type of food and there’s an opportunity to set this right. The founders are talking to both online and offline retailers to vend their products and after an initial pilot with 20 stores, a Delhi and online launch are currently underway and they hope to make a bigger splash across Mumbai, Bengaluru and Chennai next year.

Already, the duo have snagged some loyal fans. “Slurrp Farm did a pilot last year, and not just my kids but the entire family loved their cookies,” gushes Shivani Gandhi, a parent.

“We prefer them to others because of the ingredients they use. Their products have a high percentage of ragi, whole wheat flour and real butter (not palm oil).”

At the other end of the size spectrum, consumer goods giant Hindustan Unilever is looking to extend the strength of its Dove brand into baby care.

“With growing disposable incomes and awareness, more and more mothers are beginning to use specialist baby care products,” says Prabha Narasimhan, vice-president, skin care, HUL. After building Dove into a `1,000 crore brand, she believes it can be extended to baby care.

“For over 50 years, Dove has been listening to women… Now, for the first time, Baby Dove will be doing the same for the most important person in a woman’s life — her baby,” she adds.

For a start, Baby Dove will focus on areas such as moisturisers for babies, before extending its brand beyond. “Babies’ skin loses moisture up to five times faster than adults and therefore it is important to choose products that replenish the moisture of delicate baby skin,” says Narasimhan.

“The new Baby Dove range has been created to support mothers… with products that go beyond mildness to replenishment.”

Then, in August this year, yoga guru Ramdev’s Patanjali Ayurved also joined the scramble by launching its baby care products (hair oil, massage oil, body lotion and body wash gel) under a new brand called Sishu Care. These products will be priced between Rs 70 and Rs 85 for 100 ml packs, a rate competitive with market leader J&J.



Baby Care Choices
Bengaluru-based Himalaya Drug Company — still best known for liver care product Liv52 — has been steadily building its baby care business and in the last couple of years it seems to have been given a growth booster.

In spite of the growth of its own portfolio and those of market leader J&J, HUL and Dabur, these companies have a long way to go. “Despite the growth of large companies and startups, baby and mother care is a vast and underserved market in India,” says Philip Haydon, president and CEO, Himalaya Drug Company.

Even at Rs 2,500 crore (an estimate from market researcher Nielsen which is double the more conservative estimate from Euromonitor), the scope of this market in India may be undervalued.

“Many people are using regular products for their babies — soaps in urban India alone is an Rs 8,000 to Rs 10,000 crore business, for example. There’s a massive opportunity to move these consumers to products more suited to babies,” he adds.

Already, Himalaya has a strong presence in segments such as pre-bath (massage oil), bath (soap, bubble bath) and post-bath (creams, lotions and curatives). And as consumer spend on babies increases, Himalaya is expanding its range. For instance, it has forayed into wet wipes and diapers.

Now, it is looking not just at babies, but at young mothers as an extension of this push. “We are looking at women during pregnancy and beyond,” says Haydon. “We are looking at products to pamper them such as massage oils, soothing baby butter and nipple care and anti-rash items.”

Some parents appear unsure which way to go. While they trust older brands (the likes of Dove and Dabur and Co have been around for decades) and buy their products without question, being increasingly aware of new trends has them torn.

After living in a small town in Tamil Nadu for years, Sandra S, 25, was used to advice from family and friends to use adult consumer care brands on her six month-old baby.

Then, she moved to Mumbai to discover a far larger range of baby-specific brands. “There are so many options here for us, but I have to rely often on knowledge from strangers to make a choice, rather than the familiar words of family,” she says. “This is a difficult choice to make, but a changing environment compels us to make fresh choices.”

Even for the largest companies, the biggest headache may be changing mindsets. “This is a challenging market, since Indian consumers are replacing trusted, age-old, homemade baby care offerings with our products,” says Rana Banerjee, head, marketing, healthcare, Dabur, the 132-year old consumer goods company.



With its recent Dabur Baby offering, the company needs to be more cautious with its launches.

“We need to be really careful at product level… babies are sensitive with skin, hair, oral care products and more prone to infections and other health hazards,” says Banerjee.

The firm spent the last two years building its new baby care business, and is keen to launch products in segments such as massage oils, soaps, shampoos and moisturisers.

Dabur also wants to extend its core ayurveda business into baby care. According to Banerjee, the relative lack of (safe) branded options is compelling Dabur to step on the gas.



“In sectors such as massage oils, organised players account for 11% of the market,” he explains. While Dabur is best recognised for its Lal Tel massage oil, company executives are keen for some fresh impetus to their baby care unit.

Compared with the presence of HUL, Dabur and Himalaya, Mohit Sadaani’s Amishi Life, a startup founded just a few months ago in May 2016, is a lightweight. Sadaani and his wife had their first child in the UK and were pleasantly surprised by the plethora of baby care options.

In contrast, the second time around, this time in India, they found much slimmer pickings. “For paranoid parents, there are not enough safe and natural baby care products in India,” he says. “Educated and aware parents are willing to look beyond big brands for their baby’s personal care needs.”

After raising a seed round of funding recently, Sadaani’s firm will shortly launch a series of personal care products, including bodywash, shampoo and lotions for expectant women and young mothers. “Indian mothers are willing to consider natural and safe products for their babies,” he contends.

If fledgling startups are looking for some inspiration, FirstCry could provide some answers. The company, which Maheshwari cofounded in mid-2010, started with barely 1,000 products on its platform.

Then he quickly realised that being only online wouldn’t get him far. Back in 2011, he set up his first offline store and today FirstCry has some 180 stores operational and over 1,25,000 items listed.

“There is a lot more awareness in the market today than six years ago,” says Maheshwari. “Parents have different aspirations for their children… more than what they get from the neighbourhood store.”

FirstCry labels itself as Asia’s largest baby care store, and expects to have 700 offline stores in the next three or four years.



Some startups are looking at other fragmented baby and child care opportunities too.



Meeta Sharma Gupta of Shumee wants to crack the toys market. The former researcher with IBM is leaning on new learnings from psychology, which push children to be discoverers with their toys and encourage them to learn. All of Shumee’s toys are made of wood (but not traditionally handmade ones), use safe paint and are safer for the environment, says Gupta.

“The market for toys is highly fragmented and products from global brands are limited and costly,” says Gupta. To try and cut it in a market dominated by the likes of Mattel and Hasbro, Shumee will primarily be focused online, even as it seeks to look for new avenues for growth.

At an event in Mumbai, its wares were sold out on day one, even as the company sells around five to eight toys a day (each priced around `1,500). Gupta has hired full-time designers and is planning international sales too.

With over 26 million babies expected to be born in India every year, companies big and small are jostling for a share of this fast-growing market. The action may just be getting started.

(Source: The Economic Times dated 2016-10-02)